SteamGifts..
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Dromaium
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Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 01:54    Post subject: SteamGifts..
Am I just naturally unlucky or does steamgifts has a conspiracy against me? Laughing

I've entered more than 19.000 contests and I'm still to earn my first gift... Mad

And I've inclusively created some offers myself, I have $575.99 as my offered value and I'm still waiting for my first gift!
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scaramonga




Posts: 9800

PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:07    Post subject:
System is flawed.

Of course, there is always the 'auto-enter' script Wink Rolling Eyes Razz

Nah, never use it now, pile of shit, but great for creating false hopes Very Happy
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Dromaium
Banned



Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:10    Post subject:
scaramonga wrote:
System is flawed.

Of course, there is always the 'auto-enter' script Wink Rolling Eyes Razz

Nah, never use it now, pile of shit, but great for creating false hopes Very Happy


Is there anything similar for legit traders?
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Morphineus
VIP Member



Posts: 24883
Location: Sweden
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:19    Post subject:
You're just unlucky, I got 14 wins (public ones) from 8239 giveaways entered. I usually don't enter stuff that is highly popular tho. Smile

You could always try to join a group, ups your chance quite a bit and maybe in time join our forum's group Smile


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Dromaium
Banned



Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:27    Post subject:
MORPHINEUS wrote:
You're just unlucky, I got 14 wins (public ones) from 8239 giveaways entered. I usually don't enter stuff that is highly popular tho. Smile

You could always try to join a group, ups your chance quite a bit and maybe in time join our forum's group Smile


Neither do I, on average the contests that I enter in have at the most 500-800 entries at their end, which is why it seems to me that there is statiscally something very odd here.

Also, I don't know if this influences anything, but I did 'won' a gift when I first joined the site, but considering that the other party never sent it, I placed a "not sent" on the "you won" page.

Considering the sheer amount of contests that I entered and the statistical probability of winnings, I should have won some 25-30 gifts already, and I won 'that gift' in a matter of weeks when I initially joined the site a few years ago, and never again have I won anything. Despite being generous and giving way all my extra keys everytime I have some duplicate ones.
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Newty182




Posts: 10805
Location: UK
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:53    Post subject:
I've won about 30 public giveaways with 9,318 entries (I think 3 or 4 are developer giveaways).


Ryzen 5 5600, ASUS ROG STRIX B550-F GAMING WIFI II, Corsair Vengeance RGB RT 32GB 3600MHz C16, MSI RTX 5070 Ti Ventus 3X OC , Corsair RMx Series RM750x. AOC AGON AG324UX - 4K 144Hz 1ms
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Dromaium
Banned



Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:55    Post subject:
Newty182 wrote:
I've won about 30 public giveaways with 9,318 entries (I think 3 or 4 are developer giveaways).


I've entered some of those, including one a few months back which claimed to give 25.000 keys, guess who was amongst the lucky losers? Laughing
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Newty182




Posts: 10805
Location: UK
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:56    Post subject:
I don't see how you can have such bad luck... Well I do, I guess it's just really unfortunate. Sad


Ryzen 5 5600, ASUS ROG STRIX B550-F GAMING WIFI II, Corsair Vengeance RGB RT 32GB 3600MHz C16, MSI RTX 5070 Ti Ventus 3X OC , Corsair RMx Series RM750x. AOC AGON AG324UX - 4K 144Hz 1ms
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Dromaium
Banned



Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 02:59    Post subject:
Newty182 wrote:
I don't see how you can have such bad luck... Well I do, I guess it's just really unfortunate. Sad


Well, I don't believe in luck, but I do hypothesize that there is either some kind of scam behind steamgifts or perhaps that they "block" a certain kind of accounts from being eligible for winnings.
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Newty182




Posts: 10805
Location: UK
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 03:05    Post subject:
Odds are that statistically you should have won but it could be possible to enter that amount of giveaways and not win, kind of like the opposite of winning the lottery.


Ryzen 5 5600, ASUS ROG STRIX B550-F GAMING WIFI II, Corsair Vengeance RGB RT 32GB 3600MHz C16, MSI RTX 5070 Ti Ventus 3X OC , Corsair RMx Series RM750x. AOC AGON AG324UX - 4K 144Hz 1ms
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Dromaium
Banned



Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 03:09    Post subject:
Newty182 wrote:
Odds are that statistically you should have won but it could be possible to enter that amount of giveaways and not win, kind of like the opposite of winning the lottery.


Indeed, that's what statistics mean, nevertheless, I was wondering if there were others with a high number of entries and zero wins.
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ixigia
[Moderator] Consigliere



Posts: 65078
Location: Italy
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 03:32    Post subject:
Like Morphi and Newt said, 19.000 entries and no wins is pure, genuine bad luck. As long as your account is active, it's perfectly eligible, so don't worry, there aren't any shady tricks or silly blocks from their part. Equiprobability is always the key, and yours is just a very remarkable achievement in its own misfortune :<
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Dromaium
Banned



Posts: 462
Location: I don't identify as Banned, Ronhrin, Citizen.
PostPosted: Sun, 20th Apr 2014 03:34    Post subject:
ixigia wrote:
Like Morphi and Newt said, 19.000 entries and no wins is pure, genuine bad luck. As long as your account is active, it's perfectly eligible, so don't worry, there aren't any shady tricks or silly blocks from their part. Equiprobability is always the key, and yours is just a very remarkable achievement in its own misfortune :<


I was secretly wishing for it being a scam.. Sad
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